Public research on Georgia elections and campaign technology. Read the analysis, then explore its data.
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Ten Republican-held Georgia House districts are rated competitive for November 2026. Their 2024 ballots, model probabilities, presidential movement, and resident profiles answer different questions about the same seats.
Republicans are favored to hold both chambers of the Georgia General Assembly, decisively in the Senate and clearly but not overwhelmingly in the House. Democrats are near certain to keep the 80 House seats they hold and roughly even money to gain six. The majority takes eleven.
Civic Forge Solutions is publishing ratings for all 236 seats in the Georgia General Assembly. In 81 of them only one major party filed, so they were decided in March. Across the 155 contested seats only three are genuine coin flips, and none are in the Senate. Every district gets two ratings: one for how it votes for the legislature, and one for how it votes for federal office.
Qualifying is closed. 697 candidates filed for Georgia's 2026 races. Browse every district on an interactive map, filter by party or lean, and use the wave slider to model different election scenarios.
From raw voting data to actionable insights: how we're helping campaigns and the public understand voter behavior through data analysis and real-time tracking.
Precinct-level analysis of the GA-14 special election. Democrat Shawn Harris won a plurality with 37.3% in a 17-candidate jungle primary, triggering a runoff. The Democratic vote share rose from 35.6% to 39.8% district-wide, a uniform shift that held across all 10 counties. The runoff is scheduled on April 7th between Harris and Clay Fuller (R).
Early voting closed on March 6. 60,268 ballots were accepted in the GA-14 special election, 16.2% of the 2024 general. The last day recorded the most early votes in one day at 6,319.
GA-14 early voting reached 46,523 ballots through Tuesday, March 3. Three EV days remain.
With 39,749 early votes through Sunday of Week 2, the GA-14 special election has reached 10.7% of the total votes cast in the 2024 GA-14 general. Friday EV turnout rebounded to 3,560 ballots, the highest weekday total since Week 1. Five EV days remain through March 6.
With 33,027 early votes through Thursday of Week 2, the GA-14 special election has reached 8.9% of the total votes cast in the 2024 GA-14 general. Thursday posted the lowest weekday total of the early voting period at 2,155, a signal that the mid-period lull is deepening before an expected final-week surge.
With 28,132 early votes returned through Tuesday of the second week, the GA-14 special election has already surpassed 7.5% of 2024 general election turnout. Catoosa and Floyd counties are overperforming, compared to 2024. The "swing" counties of Cobb and Paulding are over and underperforming, respectively.
The GA-14 early voting electorate leans Republican by primary history, except Cobb County. However, we are seeing some interesting potential shifts within precincts with Republicans potentially losing vote share, relative to the 2024 election.
Over 20,000 ballots have been returned in the GA-14 special election through Friday. The biggest single-day turnout yet, combined with heavy activity in Cobb and Paulding, offers the first clear picture of where the electorate is engaging.
Early voting in the GA-14 Special Election continues with the lower turnout expected of a special election. While Democrats, by the numbers, face a tough contest, the final results of this contest are far from certain.
Early voting begins in the GA-14 special election with 21 candidates on the ballot. We break down the jungle primary format, Democratic upset scenarios, and the first absentee ballot data.
